SubscribeThe Week Ahead - Apple, Netflix and More
July 19, 2008
The Week Ahead - My Weekly Column on MSN Money
We are the heart of earnings season and this week’s lineup is massive. As I write this, I’m looking at over 25 pages of earnings estimates on hundreds of companies presenting results in one of the toughest quarters we’ve seen in decades. It appears that many of the companies that have already reported have been doing a fine job of beating lowered expectations and providing a nice balance to a market that has been under siege.
This week will be no different in terms of volatility. But those companies which have been savvy enough to project estimates that they figure they can beat will have an easy time pleasing investors. Those that don’t will pay a heavy price into the next cycle. Let’s face it, it’s a game. If played well it can provide wondrous rewards.
Here are a few companies that you may want to pay attention to. Remember, this all is predicated on oil behaving and limited announcements of any kind from the financial sector.
Stocks Discussed: Apple (AAPL), Netflix (NFLX), Amazon (AMZN), Wynn (WYNN), Las Vegas Sands (LVS), JetBlue (JBLU), Ametek (AME), Chipotle Mexican Grille (CMG) and more…
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The Week Ahead: A Few Nuggets
July 12, 2008
This week will be full of exciting earnings announcements that may actually show some promise. As investor anxiety grows, sometimes a stock will mistakenly get caught up in the hysteria/euphoria and shares will behave erratically. In these conditions, if a company can prove that it isn’t in imminent danger by showing a string of solid earnings in the face of financial adversity, investors will bid shares up with a vengeance.
There may actually be a few nuggets that will show up this week. Yes, even in a market that seems to whipsaw investors around daily, there may be a few good stocks out there. Even in the worst forest fire there is usually some form of life left that will help to bring life out of the ashes. With that in mind, here are few ideas to ponder:
Stocks: (SCHW) (C) (IBKR) (FNM) (FRE) (OXPS) (INTC) (EBAY) (COF) (GOOG) (MAT)
The Week Ahead - Market Independnce Day!
July 1, 2008
From my post on MSN Money TopStocks:
It’s a whole new ball game. With the dollar’s historic lows and oil breaking about $140 per barrel, it seems obvious that as investors, we need to revisit the basic rules when it comes to risk protection and price targets. As we saw with last week’s romp on the market, the broad-based sell off was a signal that we may have finally approached the proverbial straw that broke the market’s back. What is next and will oil finally come down from the stratosphere?
Whether it’s transportation costs or materials that make up the basis of the manufacturing process, companies are going to need to be looking for cost-cutting strategies in order to maintain profitability.
Unless you have a portfolio chock full of short positions and maybe a smattering of energy-related stocks, you have had a lot to be worried about. The most troubling part of this earnings season is that we have not seen a more publicized account showing that companies are having a difficult time reaching lowered estimates. Perhaps it is time to reflect on goals and pay attention to downside risk in an environment that is showing a much greater potential for breakdown that a breakout.
Covering: (STD) (HRB) (ADBE) (CORL) (WDFC) (FDO)
ChartFest: Homebuilders or Ski Slopes?
June 21, 2008
The home-builders are really taking a shellacking. Pulte (PMH) and Toll Brothers (TOL) clearly look better than the others, though that is not saying much. There will be a couple of earnings releases next week which include Thursday’s release from Lennar (LEN) and followed on Friday by KB Homes (KBH).
We should get a better insight into how deep of a problem it will be for the next several months. I don’t have high hopes.. Do you? What are your thoughts? Are they coming back? Add a comment below…
(Also, check out the latest TDI Podcasts HERE)
Disclosure: Horowitz & Company clients may hold positions in the securities mentioned as of the publish date.
The Week in Preview: Mixed Bag
June 8, 2008
At best it was a week that was difficult at worst it was a very concerning sign about what is to come. We have finally seen a significant drop in the overall sentiment due to extraordinarily high oil prices mixed with an unemployment level at 5.5%. The mixture of these and other troubling economic projections has finally come to cause investors to pause and realize that this is no place to be accepting risk beyond what is absolutely necessary.
This week will show a significant amount of reservation by investors not accepting of any shortfalls on earnings or even outlooks that are not significantly rosy. The current picture and the economic outlook was the focus of The Disciplined Investor Podcast this week with help from money manager and economist, Michael “Mish” Sheldock.
Monday, in June 9
Shuffle Master (NASDAQ: SHFL) will be reporting earnings that are expected to be $.07 per share. This has continued to be a difficult market for them even as casino construction has..
Read the rest of the article on AOL…
(ASHW) (CMED) (CYBX) (KFY) (LEH) (PBY) (QSII) (SHFL)
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