SubscribeHow we are beating the S&P 500 by 8% this month
September 21, 2008
If you have been following the blog or the podcast I’m sure you have heard mention of The TDI Managed Growth Strategy. Well, now as the markets are in bull and bear mode, it is a good time to review the merits of The TDI Managed Growth Strategy. So far, the portfolio has had a terrific start and I am very pleased with the success we have had so far.
As this strategy is now open to investors, perhaps it is time to think about looking at what has occurred in the markets and consider taking that next step towards changing a strategy that may not be working. This time is surely different, and buy-and-hold, wait-and-see, hope-for-the-best may not be suitable. I am well aware that you may be shell-shocked by what recently happened, (as we all are) but that is not reason to believe that you cannot be making money in these conditions. Read more
What if all the banks are closed?
September 13, 2008
All eyes will live and breathe Lehman Brothers (LEH) this week, but here is the early edition of my MSN Strategy Lab Journal:
No, we don’t need banks, cars or computers. Nor do we need planes, radios or phones. Get rid of all of the companies that provide these products and services, and the human race will still live on.
At the end of the day we really only need three things: water, food and shelter. For the moment, let’s leave the topic of shelter aside, as it has its own problems, and dive right into how we can make some money with the other two.
The stock market has been squarely focused on the events leading up to some resolution with the financial companies. It has become a daily obsession with many people because the headlines can’t be ignored.
So now may be the time to look at some of the overlooked and out-of-favor companies in the food and water sectors.
Think for a second: If the predictions are right and we are in for a catastrophic meltdown of both our financial systems and the polar ice caps, we will need to get back to the basics of our long-forgotten agrarian existence.
As far-fetched as that may be, there is some rationale in the notion that no matter what happens, we will still need to eat and drink. The rest is simply excess.
Stocks Discussed: Intrepid Potash (IPI) Mosaic (MOS) Lehman Brothers (LEH) , UltraShort Oil & Gas ProShares (DUG), Calgon Carbon (CCC), Terra Nitrogen (TNH) , Potash of Saskatchewan (POT)
Read the entire article HERE
The Week Ahead: Apple of my iPod
September 7, 2008
From my MSN Topstocks article:
There’s no doubt that it has been a lonely and unprofitable existence if you have been a bull through the recent market letdown. Most agree that even though grossly unpleasant, last week’s ferocity was long overdue and surely had many investors rethinking their portfolio allocations and just how much risk they really want to assume. It seemed that regardless of quality or outlook, stocks were uniformly beaten down as the possibility is growing that a violent market downturn will eventually occur.
Even with a Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac bailout, there will surely be problems over the next few weeks as consumer spending has stalled, unemployment is rising and bankruptcy filings are increasing. No matter how large the band-aid, many banks are in big trouble and the credit card companies are even worse off.
Stocks Discussed: Apple (AAPL), Pep Boys (PBY), Oxford Industries (OXM), Stewart Industries (STW)
Read the rest of the article HERE
Natural Gas: Oversold and we are buying
August 28, 2008
* Recently, we bought U.S. Natural Gas Fund (UNG) for The Disciplined Investor Managed Growth Strategy portfolios…
Below is an interesting graphic that shows the effect on energy commodities by the legislation that closed the Enron Loophole. Even though there has been a great deal of discussion concerning the supply and demand factor, specifically related to China, it is clear that since July, the precipitous fall of energy commodities is not due to a reduction in demand. Supply/Demand had little to do with what occurred. It was rampant manipulation and speculation, and this graphic provides more proof.
The chart shows the percentage change of the three energy related ETFs (funds) that track natural gas, crude oil and heating oil. Of those, natural gas has fallen the greatest amount (37% down) as is appears that it is not the main target of speculators any longer. Read more
TDI Episode 54: Chipotle, Sushi and Pot
April 27, 2008
Guests: Greg Ip, WSJ and Jon Markman of MSN Money look for answers to many of the questions investors are asking: What will the Fed do? Will food costs continue to rise? Recession? Markets? Best strategies for profits in difficult market conditions. $85 for sushi for 3? - Greg provides Andrew with a savvy solution…
LISTEN TO PODCAST | LISTEN @ ZUNE - @ iTUNES | DOWNLOAD
Gregory Ip is a senior special writer for The Wall Street Journal, based in Washington. He covers the Federal Reserve, the economy, financial markets and economic policy.
Prior to assuming his current assignment in January 2001, Mr. Ip had covered the financial markets for the Journal’s Money & Investing section in New York since November 1996 when he joined the paper as a reporter in the New York bureau. He was named a senior special writer in October 2000. Read more
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