Political Risk Scores – Top and Bottom 10 Riskiest Countries

June 29, 2012

Political risk evaluates a range of political factors relating to political stability and effectiveness that could affect a country’s ability and/or commitment to service its debt obligations and/or cause turbulence in the foreign-exchange market. This rating informs sovereign, currency and banking sector Read more

TDI Podcast: The China Fudge Report, Velocity of Money and Short Ideas (#269)

June 29, 2012

In this episode, we cover the recent report of China fudging some of their economic reports. We also look at the new tablet from Microsoft (MSFT) and some tech stocks that may win and lose – why we think Seagate (STX) may be a good short. Also, the economics coming for the week ahead and how the Velocity of Money is what we should be paying close attention to.

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Germany – Economic Conditions are Sliding (CHARTS)

June 28, 2012

Aside from the fact that Egan Jones downgrading Germany this week, there are internal problems with the German economy that building. Factory orders are plunging, confidence is dropping Read more

Correlations – Who Controls The Markets?

June 28, 2012

In times with low volume flows and directional trends that continue, we often see that the correlations of the Index to individual stocks rise. In other words, there is more focus on the index itself than on stock picking.

Sometimes this is because there is a preference to hedge out risk via futures or ETFs. Other times it is because there is the thought that there is no advantage in being in one stock over the other.

Each day, various brokers come out with end of day “desk color” that provides a glimpse into Read more

Durable Good Orders – Better but Previous Revised Down

June 28, 2012

Durable goods rose more than expected. Analysts were looking for a 0.5% and the 1.1% was a decent surprise. Some of that was due to the noisy nature of month to month numbers and the fact that last month was revised down from +0.2% to -.2%. So, on the whole, it was not really a big differential as some of the increase comes from the benefit Read more

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