Initial Claims – Disappointing Means Green Light To Short Dollar

February 18, 2010 2:05 pm

Well, once again we are disappointed with the Thursday morning  initial claims report. Is it a surprise anymore that each time the number is released there is a sharp move lower for the futures that quickly rebounds by the time the 9:30 bell rings?

The probability is high that traders will view the weaker than expected numbers as a good sign that a ridiculously easy monetary policy will continue to fund the risk trade. Once we see a weak number, the dollar sells of (green light to short) and the money starts to bid up equities.

Or at least that is how it looks….

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Disclosure: Horowitz & Company clients may hold positions of securities mentioned as of the date published.

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