Indicators We are Watching – Oil Appears Oversold (For Now)

February 8, 2010 8:35 am

There have been several warning signs over the past few weeks that now were obviously a “tell” for the coming direction of equities. (Hindsight is 20/20 of course)

Much of the action can be blamed on the sovereign debt concerns and the U.S. dollar’s rocket, causing short covering of carry-trades. There was even talk of a hedge fund(s) collapsing and selling off due to panic selling to cover shorts.

Oil may be oversold and bounced nicely off of $70 and the U.S. dollar has to push through hard resistance from here. Next week’s revalations about Europe’s decision to support Greece (and the PIIGS) will dictate market direction.

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High Yield bonds may have hit a wall here as downgrades are starting to appear across fixed income sectors.

(Click on each chart to enlarge)

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Disclosure: Horowitz & Company clients may hold positions of securities mentioned as of the date published.

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