Economics of the Day: Rumor Mill was WAY OFF, But Inflation is Here

January 4, 2010 1:34 pm

We had some economic news today that was mixed. Early morning rumor mills were suggesting that the ISM Manufacturing index would surge to 65. If you recall, over the past few weeks we posting charts and discussions on the Richmond, Philly and the Empire manufacturing indicies. Each was weak and for the most part came in below expectations. Therefore, it was hard to believe that we would see such a move higher for the ISM index.

The actual numbers came in at 55.9 vs 54.3 expectations. (So much for the rumor mill!)

ISM Mnfg 20100104

ISM Prices paid came in more inflationary then expectations at 61.5 vs. 57.2. This is a trend that appears to be gaining strength.

ISM Prices 20100104

Construction spending was slightly worse than expectations at -0.6% vs. -0.5% and the prior was revised down to -0.5% vs. 0.0%.

Construction 20100104


Disclosure: Horowitz & Company clients may hold positions of securities mentioned as of the date published.

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