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TDI Podcast 99: S&P Racing to 500 or 1,000?

March 9, 2009 12:45 am

Guest: Charles Biderman, TrimTabs discusses why the S&P 500 may be dropping to 500 soon. At the same time, we pose the question: Is a dead cat bounce imminent? Listen in as both sides are discussed and opportunity knocks. Also, as TDI episode 100 approaches, we are asking that you send in your comments and tell us how you have become a Disciplined Investor.

(Write to: askandrew@thedisciplinedinvestor.com)

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Charles Biderman is the Founder and Chief Executive Officer of TrimTabs Investment Research. After earning his MBA from Harvard Business School, he began his career as Alan Abelson’s assistant at Barron’s from 1971 to 1973. There he predicted the collapse of real estate investment trusts (REITs). After Barron’s, he worked in the Wall Street short selling community and recommended shorting REITs on their way to perdition.

Mr. Biderman is interviewed regularly on CNBC and Bloomberg and is quoted frequently in the financial media, including Barron’s, the Wall Street Journal, Forbes, and Investor’s Business Daily. He is the author of TrimTabs Investing: Using Liquidity Theory to Beat the Stock Market (John Wiley & Sons, 2005). He holds a BA from Brooklyn College and an MBA from Harvard Business School.

Below are the charts discussed in the episode that provide some interesting ideas and anecdotal evidence that we could be seeing a rally, short-cover rally, dead cat bounce or something that will drive stock prices higher. In the mix are also some of the stocks making their ways to 52-week highs and lows.

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Written by Andrew Horowitz · Category(s) Markets, PODCASTS, SHOW NOTES    |  Tags: • • •   

3 Responses to “TDI Podcast 99: S&P Racing to 500 or 1,000?”

  1. David Matthews on March 9th, 2009 2:26 pm

    Andrew,

    You asked us to submit how we have become disciplined investors and I decided to share my story.
    In August of last year I decided to pay off my mortgage with a guaranteed return of 5.875% rather than continuing to invest in this market. Because of this, I am completely debt free with no mortgage or credit card debit. I then invested in laddered cd's with interest rates from 3.8 to 4.5%, and established a 6 month emergency fund in a money market account.
    I am now positioned to invest in the stock market long in ETF's once the market becomes less of a crap shoot.

    Enjoy your podcast,

    David

  2. nomadwolf on March 10th, 2009 1:49 am

    Mr. Biderman stated that the reserves in the FDIC and Social Security are just "IOUs". Sure they are, they're Treasury bills. We have "just IOUs" to China, and a whole lot of investors out there. However, I have a feeling that the US will not default on these, even if it is owed "internally". If they do default on T-bills, we'll have a much bigger problem than just a (more) insolvent FDIC or SS.

  3. John K. on March 10th, 2009 12:05 pm

    Thanks, Andrew, for 99 great podcasts. I have been a listener since about podcast #20 and it has been a great source of information. Although I have read your book and listened to all those podcasts, I still consider myself to be a very novice investor. With that being said, your financial insight along with your guest's comments have been of great benefit to me. I am no longer at the mercy of my broker telling me to follow the Suze Orman philosophy. Last spring, I reallocated my portfolio against my brokers wishes, mostly into CD's and online savings accounts which had high interest rates. I even shorted a couple financials and let me tell you from a lifelong buy and hold guy, clicking the "confirm" button on a short made my palms sweat. Bottom line, I was up about 2% in 2008 and my 401K is still intact. To me, that rate of return is great considering if I blindly followed my broker's advice I would have been down about 40%. Thank you very much and please continue the great work. BTW, I'm up in 2009 as well.

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