Comments on: TDI Podcast 92: An Unavoidable Depression? (Dent and Shedlock)

By: plus500 reviews

plus500 reviews — Fri, 19 Aug 2011 12:55:35 +0000

Take a look at the correlations of the charts in the Book the Great Bust Ahead. He based his book on one of Dent's old books and found an amazing correlation to population in the 47 to 54 age profile. You can follow that demographic profile back to the 1900s. Even through the great depression the correlation was true. The only place it didn' is in the area where birth control came into usage and that deflected the trend to a little bit later as people held off on kids.

By: bukmacherzy

bukmacherzy — Wed, 17 Aug 2011 12:47:30 +0000

I have just downloaded the podcast and i can say that i really liked it. Dent is good, but i like Mish more cause it's awesome. Thanks for giving the opportunity to download such great podcast.

By: Jayson M.

Jayson M. — Thu, 17 Jun 2010 20:34:20 +0000

I have just downloaded the podcast and i can say that i really liked it. Dent is good, but i like Mish more cause it's awesome. Thanks for giving the opportunity to download such great podcast..

By: full deck

full deck — Fri, 27 Nov 2009 03:41:41 +0000

HARRY IS A DENT ALRIGHT = A QUACK! HE's just another $ale$per$on (they ALL lie!).
"Do the math!" : at LEAST $50,000/per lecture X 200 lectures each year = $10,000,000/year.
How many YEARS has he been lying about the DOW, etc. and to people???? 15 years? X,
well, YOU do the math…Dent obviously makes his money ripping off people. His mutual fund
tanked BBBBBAAADDDDD!
And "Harry stood virtually alone…", Andy?? shame on YOU…YOU are gullible —> "Talk is cheap."
"Words are empty without action." "If it sounds to good to be true…" = lies.

You guys are not playing with a…

By: Andrew Horowitz

Andrew Horowitz — Mon, 23 Feb 2009 04:39:03 +0000

Re: Antonino commented on TDI Podcast 92: An Unavoidable Depression? (Dent and Shedlock) --
RIGHT CLICK the DONWLOAD link and SAVE AS

OR better yet, subscribe in iTunes:

http://phobos.apple.com/WebObjects/MZStore.woa/wa... />
Andrew

By: Andrew Horowitz

Andrew Horowitz — Mon, 23 Feb 2009 04:08:37 +0000

WHY?

By: Antonino

Antonino — Sun, 22 Feb 2009 22:31:54 +0000

I can't download the podcast.

By: Alan Kauth

Alan Kauth — Mon, 16 Feb 2009 20:42:36 +0000

swartzfr
Take a look at the correlations of the charts in the Book the Great Bust Ahead. He based his book on one of Dent's old books and found an amazing correlation to population in the 47 to 54 age profile. You can follow that demographic profile back to the 1900s. Even through the great depression the correlation was true. The only place it didn' is in the area where birth control came into usage and that deflected the trend to a little bit later as people held off on kids.

By: OFFICIAL POLL: Mish or Schiff ? | The Disciplined Investor

OFFICIAL POLL: Mish or Schiff ? | The Disciplined Investor — Fri, 30 Jan 2009 05:30:57 +0000

[...] TDI Podcast 92: An Unavoidable Depression? (Mish on Schiff) [...]

By: Andrew Horowitz

Andrew Horowitz — Fri, 23 Jan 2009 13:07:03 +0000

All fixed now, we went to a new server

All done

Andrew

Sent from my iPhone

By: hans

hans — Fri, 23 Jan 2009 10:14:11 +0000

Unfortunately I cannot agree more. Moreover yesterday I wasn't able to download podcast directly from this site.

By: John B

John B — Thu, 22 Jan 2009 19:57:00 +0000

I would have liked to hear podcast #92 but Apple would not download due to a problem on your end

By: swartzfr

swartzfr — Tue, 20 Jan 2009 16:57:57 +0000

Yes I read his books.
He is very smart in his domain.
I just don't think his demographic thesis is that compelling in light of the overriding debt meltdown.

He also predicted dow 35K at one point.
What he predicts may come true but I don't think it will be due to demographics.
Much more powerful forces are now in play. Demographics are marginal.
The current drop in consumption has nothing to do with demographics.
Balance sheets are the issue.

Must be taken with a grain of salt just like Schiff.

By: Andrew Horowitz

Andrew Horowitz — Tue, 20 Jan 2009 16:30:05 +0000

Re: swartzfr commented on TDI Podcast 92: --

Have you read his books? They are brilliant...

Andrew

By: swartzfr

swartzfr — Tue, 20 Jan 2009 16:03:48 +0000

I think Mr. Dent gives his theories (demographic swifts) too much emphasis. While it is a factor it is not the driver in the current situation. Pure demographic shifts will impact the economy in a much more subtle and gradual way. What he failed to see was the debt deflation, brought on by excess leverage, which supersedes his demographic shift theories. This crisis will change the behaviors of people both old and young. People will work longer save more consume less as a result of the debt crisis not because of the demographic shifts. With all due respect to Mr. Dent I believe he is locked into selling his book and therefore married to this demographic shift paradigm.

By: Andrew Horowitz

Andrew Horowitz — Tue, 20 Jan 2009 01:58:52 +0000

Harry did call for a market boom to start right about now. That is why I mentioned it in this episode and mentioned my epiphany. He is very smart and if you think about it., his prediction s are for a LONG period ahead of him. Not an easy task.

By: VPro

VPro — Tue, 20 Jan 2009 01:44:35 +0000

Andrew – excellent interviews. Thanks and keep up the great work.

I heard from someone, that back in 1999 near the market top, Harry Dent was calling for the Dow to go to 20k – 30k – or 40k. The person who mentioned this didn't remember the exact figure he had called for. Their point was that there are often calls like that at the top and calls for extremely bad things (ala Harry's book) at the lows. I don't know if Harry said this, do you? Can you check with him?

Regarding the US dollar, it has been declining from the $120 area since 2002. Treasury Secretaries past and present meanwhile have stated over and over that the US has a strong dollar policy but that is clearly not true. I say get ready for $USD to top in this $85-$86 area working its way toward $72 ( not zero though). Gold will see $1,200, maybe more because of the massive US printing.

PS – thanks for alerting people to the insanity of lazy portfolios. Since when does being lazy build the core or foundation of success in anything? It's absolutely ludicrous.